{"id":1597,"date":"2023-10-26T08:00:00","date_gmt":"2023-10-26T06:00:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.blog.bim.finance\/?p=1597"},"modified":"2024-03-06T16:38:16","modified_gmt":"2024-03-06T15:38:16","slug":"bull-run-rien-ne-sert-de-courir","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.blog.bim.finance\/en\/bull-run-rien-ne-sert-de-courir\/","title":{"rendered":"Bull run : rien ne sert de courir !"},"content":{"rendered":"
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<\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/section>\n\t\t\t\t

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Bull run : d\u00e9finition\n<\/h2>\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t
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Poursuivons notre incursion dans le bestiaire de la finance. Apr\u00e8s le <\/span>bear market<\/span><\/a>, aujourd\u2019hui nous allons parler du bull run (course de taureau). Question : sachant qu\u2019un taureau attaque avec ses cornes du bas vers le haut, \u00e0 quel type de march\u00e9 faisons-nous r\u00e9f\u00e9rence, \u00e0 votre avis ?<\/span><\/p>\n

\u00a0Gagn\u00e9 ! Il s’agit, en effet, d\u2019un march\u00e9 haussier.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

Le bull run se d\u00e9finit<\/span><\/a> par une hausse des prix continue des actifs d\u2019au moins 20% pendant deux mois au minimum. Cette phase ascendante peut perdurer plusieurs ann\u00e9es \u00e0 l\u2019instar de la bulle internet dont le march\u00e9 haussier aura dur\u00e9 dix ans avant son \u00e9clatement en 2000.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t

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Effets et contexte<\/h3>\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t
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Tous les march\u00e9s sont concern\u00e9s par les bull run : mati\u00e8res premi\u00e8res, devises et crypto monnaies. Le march\u00e9 haussier se d\u00e9ploie dans un contexte d\u2019optimisme et de confiance de la part des investisseurs : la demande augmente, le ch\u00f4mage diminue et les entreprises font des b\u00e9n\u00e9fices. Bref, l\u2019\u00e9conomie est au beau fixe !<\/span><\/p>\n

Vous l\u2019avez compris, un bull run est une situation \u00e9conomique favorable durant laquelle les investisseurs peuvent faire \u00e9norm\u00e9ment de b\u00e9n\u00e9fices via des transactions bien ajust\u00e9es. Cependant, une ombre se cache dans ce tableau idyllique. Une croissance n\u2019est jamais \u00e9ternelle, il faut donc \u00eatre prudent car personne ne saura pr\u00e9dire le march\u00e9 baissier qui s\u2019ensuivra.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t

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Crypto monnaie et bull run : c\u2019est fou !\n<\/h2>\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t
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La volatilit\u00e9 des crypto monnaies<\/h3>\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t
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Le march\u00e9 des crypto monnaies poss\u00e8de plusieurs particularit\u00e9s. D\u2019abord c\u2019est un march\u00e9 jeune, d\u2019\u00e0 peine dix ans. Ensuite, les \u00e9conomistes le d\u00e9finissent comme un march\u00e9 particuli\u00e8rement volatil. Cela signifie que son cours peut \u00e9voluer de mani\u00e8re soudaine mais aussi que ses fluctuations de cours varient tr\u00e8s fortement. Par exemple, en p\u00e9riode de bull run, une crypto monnaie peut prendre jusqu\u2019\u00e0 10% par jour.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

S\u2019il est un march\u00e9 pour lequel on peut parler de montagnes russes, c\u2019est bien celui de la blockchain Bitcoin. <\/span>Son histoire est compl\u00e9tement folle<\/span><\/a>. Imaginez, en 2017, un bitcoin valait 1000 dollars. Un an plus tard, il en valait 20 000. En mars 2021, Elon Musk investira 1,5 milliards de dollars dans la crypto monnaie. La valeur du Bitcoin passera alors \u00e0 63 000 dollars. Des chiffres all\u00e9chants qui convaincraient n\u2019importe qui d\u2019y laisser son plan d\u2019\u00e9pargne logement. Mais gare \u00e0 la volatilit\u00e9 de ce march\u00e9 ! La m\u00eame ann\u00e9e, Elon Musk retire ses billes. En cause ? L\u2019empreinte carbone lourde de cette crypto monnaie. Le Bitcoin perd la moiti\u00e9 de sa valeur en moins de trois mois.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t

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Peut-on pr\u00e9dire un bull run en mati\u00e8re de crypto monnaie ?\n<\/h3>\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t
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Le graal, en mati\u00e8re d\u2019investissement dans la crypto, consisterait \u00e0 pr\u00e9dire le prochain bull run. Il existe certains crit\u00e8res permettant d\u2019anticiper et de se pr\u00e9parer \u00e0 un tel march\u00e9. Il faut se tenir inform\u00e9 des actualit\u00e9s \u00e9conomiques mais pas que. Certains \u00e9v\u00e9nements influent sur le cours des march\u00e9s. Nous l\u2019avons constat\u00e9 lors du Covid, par exemple. Il est\u00a0 \u00e9galement important de mettre en place une strat\u00e9gie claire et, bien s\u00fbr, de ne pas mettre tous ses \u0153ufs dans le m\u00eame panier. En clair, il faut diversifier son portefeuille afin de limiter les pertes potentielles. <\/span><\/p>\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t

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Le halving bitcoin<\/h3>\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t
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Dans la presse sp\u00e9cialis\u00e9e, le halving de bloc sur Bitcoin est souvent pr\u00e9sent\u00e9 comme le top d\u00e9part d\u2019un nouveau bull market. Le halving consiste \u00e0 diviser par deux l\u2019offre de nouveaux Bitcoins. Par un effet de levier, l\u2019offre de monnaie diminue ce qui g\u00e9n\u00e8re une pression \u00e0 la hausse du prix du Bitcoin. Sur ce point, certains sp\u00e9cialistes expliquent que l\u2019impact du halving diminue au fil du temps et que le contexte macro-\u00e9conomique n\u2019est pas favorable \u00e0 un futur bull run. D\u2019autres, indiquent qu\u2019il s\u2019agira d\u2019une belle opportunit\u00e9, comme ce f\u00fbt le cas lors des pr\u00e9c\u00e9dents halving. Bref, vous l\u2019avez compris, personne ne poss\u00e8de de boule de cristal pour pr\u00e9dire ce qui adviendra vraiment du Bitcoin en 2024.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

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Figure 1 : Historique du Bitcoin depuis sa cr\u00e9ation<\/figcaption>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/figure>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t
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En r\u00e9sum\u00e9 \n<\/h2>\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t
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    \n
  • Le bull run, \u00e9galement connu sous le nom de march\u00e9 haussier, se caract\u00e9rise par une hausse constante des prix des actifs sur une p\u00e9riode d’au moins deux mois, avec une augmentation d’au moins 20%.<\/span><\/em><\/li>\n
  • L’exemple du Bitcoin met en \u00e9vidence la volatilit\u00e9 extr\u00eame des crypto monnaies, avec des pics de croissance suivis de chutes marqu\u00e9es, souvent influenc\u00e9es par des facteurs ext\u00e9rieurs (investissement, politique internationale, pand\u00e9mie, …).<\/span><\/em><\/li>\n
  • Pr\u00e9dire un bull run dans le domaine des crypto monnaies demeure complexe, malgr\u00e9 l’utilisation d’outils et d\u2019indicateurs en raison de l’incertitude inh\u00e9rente \u00e0 ce march\u00e9.<\/span><\/em><\/li>\n<\/ul>\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/section>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

    Le bull run est un march\u00e9 qui pr\u00e9sente de nombreuses opportunit\u00e9s financi\u00e8res. Quels en sont les revers ? Qu\u2019en est-il des syst\u00e8mes blockchain ? <\/p>","protected":false},"author":6,"featured_media":1766,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_mo_disable_npp":"","_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[16],"tags":[20],"ppma_author":[148],"class_list":["post-1597","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-lexique","tag-tout-savoir"],"yoast_head":"\nBull run : rien ne sert de courir !<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Le bull run est un march\u00e9 qui pr\u00e9sente de nombreuses opportunit\u00e9s financi\u00e8res. Quels en sont les revers ? 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